Friday, May 8 2026 13:06
Karina Melikyan

Y/y economic activity growth 4.1% up to 7.1% in Armenia in Jan-Mar  2026 

Y/y economic activity growth 4.1% up to 7.1% in Armenia in Jan-Mar  2026 

ArmInfo. In Armenia, economic activity growth accelerated to 7.1% annually in January-March 2026 (from 4.1% in the same period of 2025), driven by the construction  and industrial sectors. According to the final data from the RA  Statistics Committee, this was accompanied by an improvement in  foreign trade dynamics, with a transition from a significant decline  to moderate growth.

According to statistics, the acceleration in economic activity in  January-March 2026 was largely due to an improvement in the annual  dynamics of the industrial sector, from an 18.5% decline to 13.4%  growth, and an even faster acceleration in the construction sector,  from 13.6% to 22%. Annual growth in the energy sector also  accelerated, from 6.5% to 7.3%. Meanwhile, annual growth in trade  continued to slow, from 6% to 2.1%, a trend also observed in  services, which declined from 11.5% to 7.4%. In the agricultural  sector, annual growth worsened, reversing from 10.5% growth to a 5.2%  decline.

According to statistics for January-March 2026, the trade sector  remains the largest sector in absolute terms, with a volume of 1.4  trillion drams ($3.8 billion). Second place by volume goes to the  services sector, with 981.7 billion drams ($2.6 billion), followed by  the industrial sector, with 748 billion drams ($1.98 billion), the  agricultural sector, with 96.4 billion drams ($254.7 million), and  the construction sector, with 95.6 billion drams ($252.8 million).  Electricity generation in January-March 2026 amounted to 2,817.6  million kWh, of which 896.6 million kWh occurred in March alone.

At the same time, economic activity also accelerated from March 2026  to March 2025, reaching 6.6% (from 3.7% a year earlier), and in March  alone, growth accelerated from 4.6% to 11.6% (as compared to 5.8% to  11.9% a year earlier). Moreover, industrial sector performance  worsened in March 2026, reversing from 12.2% growth to a 2% decline,  while a year earlier, the same month, the same period, saw a 15.9%  growth rate, up from a 0.9% decline. Other sectors demonstrated  growth in March, with the highest double- digit growth in  construction (34.4%, slowing), followed by trade (14.1%, slowing),  services (12.6%, recovering from the downturn), and energy (7.3%,  recovering from the downturn).

On a year-over-year basis (March 2026 vs. March 2025), all sectors  demonstrated an upward trend.  Specifically, the construction sector  demonstrated the highest annual growth rate at 24%, followed by  services (7.8%), industrial production (7%), energy (6.9%), and trade  (0.2%). A year earlier, in March 2025 compared to March 2024, almost  all sectors, except for the industrial sector, which experienced a  decline (16.9%), showed growth: the construction sector - by 15.5%,  the service sector - by 10.1%, the trade sector - by 3.2% and the  energy complex - by 2.1%.

Against this backdrop, Armenia's foreign trade turnover in  January-March 2026 amounted to 1.8 trillion drams ($4.7 billion), an  increase of 4.6% year-on-year (compared to a 54.2% decline a year  ago). This is due to both export and import growth of 4.5% and 4.6%  year-on-year, respectively (compared to declines of 61.8% and 47.9% a  year ago). As a result, the absolute value of exports amounted to  665.7 billion drams ($1.8 billion), and imports to 1.1 trillion drams  ($2.9 billion). In March 2026, compared to March 2025, foreign trade  turnover decreased by 6.8% due to a decline in both exports (12.6%)  and imports (3.2%). This was a more significant decline compared to  March 2024, when foreign trade turnover fell by 31.8% due to a  significant decline in exports (65.4%) and imports (51.2%).

It should be noted that, starting in 2023, the methodology for  calculating electricity generation volumes in statistical reports has  changed, specifically including electricity generated by independent  generators. For the agricultural sector, data is published only in  quarterly and annual statistical reports. (The average exchange rate  of the dram in the first quarter of 2026 was 378.30 drams/$1,  compared to 395.42 drams/$1 in the first quarter of 2025).