Tuesday, August 25 2026 18:49
Karina Melikyan

In Armenia, economic activity growth accelerated from 7.1% to 7.7% in  January-July 2026, while foreign trade increased

In Armenia, economic activity growth accelerated from 7.1% to 7.7% in  January-July 2026, while foreign trade increased

ArmInfo.In Armenia, economic activity growth accelerated to 7.7% annually in January-July 2026 (from 7.1% in the same period of 2025). Moreover, the industrial sector, having managed to turn from recession to growth, has recovered as one of the drivers of economic growth. 

According to preliminary data from the Statistical Committee of the  Republic of Armenia, foreign trade also returned to growth, supported  mainly by an upward trend in imports and, in part, a sharp slowdown  in the decline in exports. According to statistics, the acceleration  of economic activity in January-July 2026 was driven by improved  annual growth in the industrial sector, which rose from a 9.8%  decline to 9.5% growth, and accelerated growth in the construction  sector, from 20.2% to 25%. Growth in the energy sector also  accelerated, from 5.6% to 6.9%. Meanwhile, the leading trade sector  by volume continued to decline in growth, from 4.2% to a nearly  stagnant 0.8%. Meanwhile, the service sector, which ranks second by  volume, accelerated in growth from 10.6% to 13.2%.

According to statistics for January-July 2026, the trade sector  retained the lead in absolute terms, with a volume of 3.8 trillion  drams ($10.1 billion). The services sector ranks second in volume,  with 2.6 trillion drams ($10.1 billion). AMD ($6.9 billion), the  third is the industrial sector - 1.8 trillion AMD ($4.8 billion).   The fourth position, due to the absence of data from the agricultural  sector in the report for this period, is occupied by the construction  sector - 369.2 billion AMD ($989.2 million). The volume of  electricity generation in January-July 2026 amounted to 5448.7  million kWh, of which 791.3 million kWh in July alone.

At the same time, in July 2026 compared to July 2025, economic  activity growth slowed from 8.9% to 6.5%, with growth accelerating  imperceptibly in July alone from 4.4% to 4.6% (compared to a growth  slowdown in July 2025 from 8.8% to 5.3%). In particular, in July  2026, the industrial sector dynamics moved from a 3.1% decline to  5.5% growth, while a year earlier in the same month there was a  noticeable acceleration in growth from 2.5% to 7.4%. At the same  time, growth in the construction sector stalled in July of this year  - from 19.5% to 16.1%, and in the service sector - from 5.7% to 2.8%.  At the same time, the trade sector in July of this year Growth  accelerated imperceptibly, from 6.3% to 7%, while the energy sector  accelerated from 1.6% to a double-digit 19.3%.

On a year-over-year basis (July 2026 to July 2025), all sectors  demonstrated an upward trend, except for the trade sector, which  declined by 0.1%. Specifically, the construction sector demonstrated  the highest annual growth rate at 26.5%, followed by the services  sector at slightly lower rates at 17%. The industrial sector followed  in terms of annual growth rates at 3.1% and the energy sector at  2.4%. A year earlier, in July 2025 to July 2024, all sectors were  growing: the construction sector by 26.1%, the energy sector by  14.8%, the services sector by 11.1%, the industrial sector by 4.2%,  and the trade sector by 3%. Against this backdrop, Armenia's foreign  trade turnover in January-July 2026 amounted to 4.3 trillion drams  ($11.5 billion), an increase of 1.7% year-on-year (compared to a 42%  decline a year ago). This was due to an improvement in import  dynamics, from a 35.8% decline to 7.7% growth, and a significant  slowdown in export decline, from 49.6% to 7.9%. As a result, the  absolute value of exports for January-July 2026 amounted to 1.5  trillion drams ($4 billion), while imports amounted to 2.8 trillion  drams ($7.5 billion).

In July 2026, compared to July 2025, foreign trade turnover also  recovered from a 16.1% decline to a 6.7% increase. Specifically, the  improvement in import dynamics, with a 16.5% decline to 21.5% growth,  was accompanied by an acceleration in the decline in exports from  15.4% to 15.7%. In July of this year alone, foreign trade turnover  accelerated from 7.3% to 9.2%, as a result of a more significant  acceleration in import growth from 8.5% to a double-digit 11.1% than  in exports, from 5% to 5.3%. A year earlier, in July 2025, foreign  trade dynamics had only just reached a modest 0.1% increase, driven  by a 3.7% increase in imports and a slowdown in the decline in  exports to 4.8%.

It should be noted that, starting in 2023, the methodology for  calculating electricity generation volumes in statistical reports has  changed; in particular, the volume of electricity generated by  independent generators has now been included. For the agricultural  sector, data is published only in quarterly and annual statistical  reports. (The average exchange rate for the dram in January-July 2026  was 373.26 drams per US dollar.)