Monday, April 6 2026 12:47
Alexandr Avanesov

RA CB: Armenia entering new period of crisis amid  Iranian-Israeli-American standoff

RA CB: Armenia entering new period of crisis amid  Iranian-Israeli-American standoff

ArmInfo.  At its April 6 meeting, the National Assembly Committee on Financial, Credit, and Budgetary Affairs approved the candidacy of Martin Galstyan,  renominated by the ruling Civil Contract faction for the position of  Chairman of the Central Bank of Armenia.

In his speech, Martin Galstyan recalled that one of the most  important functions of the Central Bank is maintaining macroeconomic  stability, which has no alternative and is aimed at the fundamental  development of the state. Accordingly, all the Bank's efforts over  the past six years have been directed toward achieving this goal.  Galstyan noted that in June 2020, when he assumed the position of  head of the Central Bank, the country was at the epicenter of the  coronavirus epidemic, followed by a 44-day war in September, which  led to a dire socioeconomic situation for the Armenian state. In this  situation, the country's greatest challenge at the time was ensuring  stability. Several important steps were taken, one of which, unlike  the central banks of many countries, was raising the refinancing rate  in December 2020, which created conditions for a stable macroeconomic  environment. By comparison, the United States has still not achieved  its inflation targets.  In Armenia, by the end of 2021 and beginning  of 2022, the Central Bank was already very close to the 4% target,  but the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war led to a new round of  inflation in the country. In 2023, as a result of another increase in  the refinancing rate, inflation declined and fell below the planned  level. It was during this period that the process of reducing the  refinancing rate began. However, as the candidate for Central Bank  chairman emphasized, the country is now entering a new period of  crisis, as it is currently difficult to predict the outcome of the  Iranian-Israeli-American standoff.

Martin Galstyan also noted the Central Bank's intervention in the  foreign exchange market during various crises. These actions were  carried out using the Central Bank's reserve funds to stabilize the  situation. In 2008-2009, during the global financial crisis, 30% of  these reserves were used; in 2014-2015, when the crisis in the  Russian financial market began, 44% of funds were used. These volumes  were significantly smaller in scale than those the country faced in  2020, but the volumes used did not exceed 15%. After this, the  Central Bank's reserves began to increase, and today they amount to  approximately $5.5 billion. This was achieved by leaving the exchange  rate floating in 2020, which led to the devaluation of the national  currency. As a result, it was possible not only to preserve reserves  but also to issue and place Eurobonds on the international market in  January 2021 with a yield of 3.18%.

Another factor that has positively impacted the Central Bank's policy  is its impact on the yield of government treasury bonds. Currently,  this yield is 8.8%, compared to 12.2% three years ago.

As a result of these steps, the government has saved 4%. All these  steps, as Martin Galstyan noted, have also helped address the issue  of financial stability. In 2020, when the economy contracted by 7%, a  significant gap in loans to GDP developed. Loans, including  non-performing loans, remained high amid falling GDP. As a result of  the work done with the government, it was possible to mitigate the  situation and create anti- cyclical capital buffers to counter future  challenges. Currently, the buffers have been increased by another 180  billion drams. In terms of liquidity, Armenia's commercial banks are  currently in very good shape, having accumulated 2 trillion drams in  national currency and 790 billion drams in foreign currency buffers.  Therefore, despite significant uncertainties, any potential shocks  should not pose a problem. Furthermore, a deterioration in the  quality of commercial banks' loan portfolios has been avoided, with  only 1.3% of non-performing loans. Currently, the country's banking  system assets account for 110% of GDP, and the loan portfolio  accounts for 64%.

It should be noted that the Central Bank Board consists of the  Chairman, two Deputy Chairman, and five Board members. The five Board  members are elected by the National Assembly of the Republic of  Armenia for a six-year term. The highest-ranking official of the  Central Bank is the Chairman, who is elected by the National Assembly  for a six-year term.