Thursday, March 19 2026 18:32
Aline Grigoryan

Russian expert: It`s important for Russia to maintain its last line  of defense in the South Caucasus

Russian expert: It`s important for Russia to maintain its last line  of defense in the South Caucasus

ArmInfo.Currently, Armenia is facing an important energy choice, one with a geopolitical dimension. Anastasia Ponomareva, PhD in sociology and professor at the Institute of International Relations at the National Research  Nuclear University, made this statement at a press conference in Yerevan on "BRICS+ Nuclear Energy Cooperation." She acknowledged that Armenia is currently in the process of selecting a partner for the  construction of a new nuclear power plant.

In this regard, the expert recalled that the BRICS Nuclear Energy  Platform was established in 2024, and in September 2025, the first  strategic document was adopted, outlining the platform's priorities,  including attracting financing and ensuring sustainable supplies.  Moreover, as Ponomareva noted, in 2025, the BRICS New Development  Bank (NDB) announced its readiness to finance nuclear energy projects  for the first time.

"At this rate, by the mid-21st century, BRICS countries will account  for approximately half of the energy consumption market. Among the  participants, in addition to the State Atomic Energy Corporation  Rosatom, are the China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC) and South  African organizations. This is truly international cooperation, which  is gradually gaining substance through the holding of relevant  strategic sessions," the professor said.

Speaking about Armenia in this regard, she noted that the country,  with its rich history in nuclear energy, is currently at a  crossroads. She recalled that the construction of a new nuclear power  unit using small modular reactor technology is currently under  discussion, but a partner has not been selected yet. In this vein,  Ponomareva called for a comparative analysis of proposals from  Russia, the United States, and China.  She pointed out that,  following the signing of the "123 Agreement" with the United States  on February 9, 2026 (on cooperation in the peaceful use of nuclear  energy, which creates a legal basis for the export of American  nuclear technology), the United States is actively seeking to  participate in these processes.  "However, the United States has  virtually no operational industrial designs. Meanwhile, Russia is  offering a water-moderated power reactor (VVER-1200), which is  already successfully operating around the world.  On one hand, the  American proposal has an indefinite certification timeline, while on  the Russian side, we see a working reactor and a promise to implement  projects as quickly as possible. Furthermore, Rosatom is a  long-standing partner of Armenia and offers a full cycle of services.  Moreover, Russia is interested in maintaining its presence in this  region," the professor noted.

Ponomareva noted that a new player has also emerged in these  discussions: China, which is unveiling its first commercial  land-based reactor, the Lin Long. The expert noted that China has a  clear deadline for completing construction, and given the country's  growing nuclear energy sector, 28 reactors are currently under  construction, exceeding the number under construction in other  countries.

"They are actively participating in this process, as for them, it is  part of the Nuclear Silk Road, aimed at exporting Chinese nuclear  technology, which, under the One Belt, One Road concept, envisions 30  Chinese reactors by 2030. Given all this, it is important to  understand that Armenia's choice has a geopolitical dimension,"  Ponomareva noted.

She clarified  that for the US, entering the market is an attempt to  break Armenia's energy dependence on Russia, and if Armenia makes  such a choice, it will mean the country adopts American safety  standards and regulations. "For Russia, it's important to maintain  its last line of defense in the South Caucasus, and for the Russian  side, it's critical to uphold long-standing partnerships in all  sectors, including nuclear energy. For China, this is an opportunity  to enter the South Caucasus. Moreover, China has an advantage:  electricity will be significantly cheaper," the expert noted.

Therefore, as Ponomareva noted, for Armenia, this is a choice for the  future: if the country agrees to the US terms, it risks becoming  technologically and politically dependent on a single source.  "However, another path could be chosen-multi-vectorism-that is,  interacting with Russia and simultaneously beginning cooperation with  China through the BRICS nuclear platform. In other words, Armenia is  faced with not only a technical but also a civilizational choice. The  main thing is that ultimately, the choice is made in the interests of  the Armenian people," Ponomareva concluded.

Recall, the possibility of constructing several small modular nuclear  reactors with a capacity of 50-60 MW was previously discussed in  Armenia. Moreover, the possibility of constructing them in several  regions of the country was even considered. However, one of the most  significant issues in this area is the lack of experience in  operating these reactors on the part of Armenian nuclear scientists.  Earlier, Gera Sevikyan, Advisor to the Director General of the  Armenian Nuclear Power Plant, told ArmInfo that a fundamental  decision had been made to build a new unit in the country using the  Russian TOI reactor with a capacity of 1,200 MW. However, as Gnel  Sanosyan, Minister of Territorial Administration and Infrastructure  of the Republic of Armenia, noted, constructing a unit of such  capacity is fraught with problems, since the capacity of Armenia's  entire energy system remains the same: 1,200 MW. Later, Armenian  Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan announced that the country had made a  fundamental decision to build a modular nuclear reactor. Moreover,  according to Armenian authorities, the country of manufacture for the  modular nuclear power plant will be determined in 2026-2027.