Tuesday, November 25 2025 15:08
Karina Melikyan

Armenia`s industrial sector decline hindering  growth of  industrial  price index

Armenia`s industrial sector decline hindering  growth of  industrial  price index

ArmInfo.  In Armenia, the industrial price index in January-October 2025 was 103.3% (compared to 103.1% in the same period in 2024). This slight change in the  indicator is occurring alongside  a decline in the annual dynamics of  the industrial sector, shifting from double-digit 11.7% growth to a  3% decline, with a volume of  2.4 trillion drams ($6.2 billion), as  evidenced by preliminary data from the RA Statistics Committee.  According to statistics, the industrial price index also increased to  105.2% in October 2025 compared to October 2024 (up from 104.9% the  previous year).  During this period, the industrial sector showed  double-digit growth of 17.9%, while the previous year's growth rate  was relatively moderate at 5.3%.

Notably, inflation in the Armenian consumer market increased  significantly during these periods.  Specifically, in January-October  2025, compared to the same period in 2024, inflation reached 3.3% (up  from zero the previous year). In October 2025 compared to October  2024, it increased to 3.7% (up from 0.6% the previous year).  Moreover, the increase in consumer inflation in 2025 was largely due  to rising food prices: by 5.3%  annually in January-October and by  5.7% annually in October. Simultaneously, utility rates continued to  rise during these periods (by 3-2.9%). For comparison, in 2024, the  following food price dynamics were recorded during the same periods:  a 1.9% decline in January-October and a 0.1% decline in October.  Additionally, an increase in utility prices was observed during these  periods (by 3- 3.3%).

It is worth noting that annual economic activity growth in Armenia in  January-October 2025 remained at 8.1% (repeating last year's  dynamics). There was a noticeable acceleration in annual growth in  October of this year - from 4.2% to 10.1%. However, there has been a  deterioration in the annual dynamics of foreign trade turnover in  January-October 2025, with a 37.1% decline compared to last year's  67.6% growth. This decline is a result of a decrease in both exports  by 44.7% (compared to a 95.1% growth a year ago) and imports by 31.2%  (compared to a 50.8% growth a year ago). Moreover, in October 2025,  compared to October 2024, the volume of foreign trade decreased by  16%, with exports dropping by 21.8% and imports by 11.9%. In October  2024, compared to October 2023, the volume of foreign trade only  slowed in growth to 12.9% due to a slowdown in import growth to 6.6%  with an acceleration in export growth to 23.1%.  (The average  exchange rate of the dram in January-October 2025 was AMD 388.06  /$1). -0-